After Snap stock crash, Wall Street analysts see more pain ahead

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Pedestrians pass in front of Snap Inc. signage displayed on the exterior of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during the company’s initial public offering (IPO) in New York, U.S., on Thursday, March 2, 2017.

Nowak cited user churn, the bungled app redesign, poor performance on Androids, and advertiser concerns as headwinds analysts expect to continue into the second quarter.

Analysts at Piper Jaffray were “skeptical” after the results with an $11.50 price target, citing leadership, and competition from Instagram could add the pain.

“Snap is a poorly structured company that is demonstrating a clear pattern of mismanagement,” Piper Jaffray analyst Sam Kemp said in a note to clients. “We think the negative news cycle around Snap will continue and advertisers will likely continue to approach Snap skeptically.”

Analysts at Deutsche bank were also bearish, and kept a $12 price target with a “hold” rating.

“Snapchat risks losing its ‘cool’ status with users frustrated by the redesign, which makes advertisers increasingly unlikely to put money into Snap advertising without clear ROI returns,”
Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank Markets Research Lloyd Walmsley said in a note to clients Wednesday.

“We think Snap is a ‘show me’ stories to advertisers (and investors), and has to move fast to change the narrative, particularly given its cash burn levels,” Walmsley said.

Credit Suisse dropped its price target from $21 to $16, still above where the stock was trading Wednesday. While analysts there called it a “conviction-testing” quarter, they maintained their “outperform” rating.

“As shares have already retraced back almost all of the gains, we elect to maintain our Outperform rating for now given the upside potential but acknowledge that further patience may be required,” said Stephen Ju, research analyst at Deutsche Bank.

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