Financial companies like Citigroup and Morgan Stanley generate 35 percent and 12 percent of their sales from Brazil, Russia, India and China, according to Goldman Sachs.
The bank’s cautious note came as the Turkish lira continued its downward spiral Monday with a 7-percent drop after plunging roughly 20 percent against the dollar Friday.
A growing diplomatic dispute between Ankara and Washington over the release of evangelist pastor Andrew Brunson sparked President Donald Trump to authorize the doubling of metals tariffs against Turkey on Friday, exacerbating a swoon in global securities.
The Russian ruble and markets remain battered following fresh U.S. sanctions over Moscow’s alleged poisoning of a former spy in Britain. Fears of further sanctions pushed the ruble down 3 percent Wednesday, while the dollar hit its highest level against the Russia currency since November 2016 on Thursday morning.
Moscow’s dollar-denominated RTS, an index of 50 Russian stocks traded on the Moscow exchange, is down 7.2 percent over the last five trading days.
Economic ties between the U.S. and China remain stressed after the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a 25 percent charge on $16 billion worth of U.S. goods last Wednesday.
“A strong U.S. dollar represents a potential headwind to firms with the highest foreign sales exposure, as their goods and services become more expensive relative to goods and services within the foreign country,” Kostin wrote last month. “As a whole, tariffs will weigh on S&P 500 earnings in two ways: lower export revenues and lower margins resulting from higher input costs.”
The 333 goods targeted in the latest round of tit-for-tat tariffs represent just the latest step in a series of trade fights between the two nations. Many analysts have suggested that the impact of the Washington-Beijing war could spiral out of hand if a prolonged conflict hampers business confidence and lead to derivative supply chain disruptions.
“The rise in U.S.-China trade tensions have raised concerns about the strength of external and domestic demand in (the second half of 2018) via direct and indirect effects on services such as logistics, wholesale trade, and trade finance, as well as on business sentiment and investment,” J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in July.
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